Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.851758 0.958938 1.075714 1.212602 1.368938 1.542222 1.749267
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.682403 0.826063 0.995525 1.211060 1.479162 1.803297 2.227313
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.580441 0.736162 0.929532 1.188981 1.530524 1.968275 2.577424
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.526639 0.694350 0.911746 1.216897 1.638473 2.206633 3.040922
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.470245 0.640352 0.868914 1.202175 1.681856 2.356733 3.394877
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.433137 0.607222 0.848838 1.213529 1.758535 2.556352 3.837855
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.394299 0.567069 0.813805 1.197818 1.791243 2.691436 4.195088
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.363461 0.535149 0.786891 1.190006 1.832737 2.840894 4.588418
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.326115 0.490021 0.735908 1.139537 1.800953 2.869447 4.783372
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.309845 0.475475 0.729914 1.158527 1.881339 3.085836 5.319820
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.295950 0.463297 0.726232 1.180228 1.967214 3.318502 5.910863
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.280398 0.447095 0.714517 1.186966 2.027236 3.511070 6.449885
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.264588 0.429617 0.699879 1.188351 2.079687 3.698661 7.010004
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.252220 0.416954 0.692300 1.201379 2.154438 3.935204 7.697892
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.234802 0.394300 0.665711 1.177629 2.157958 4.036260 8.121984
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.227270 0.388185 0.667368 1.205500 2.261839 4.342317 9.015195
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.213896 0.370727 0.647424 1.190898 2.280952 4.480206 9.561100
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.205384 0.361372 0.641370 1.202139 2.352306 4.731875 10.394171
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.193874 0.345719 0.622509 1.186590 2.367015 4.865143 10.970917
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.184288 0.332993 0.608212 1.178858 2.397105 5.034256 11.655402
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.170191 0.310865 0.574488 1.128908 2.332183 4.986187 11.800353
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.165340 0.306110 0.574059 1.147704 2.418787 5.289478 12.872144
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.161064 0.302173 0.574918 1.169181 2.513268 5.621096 14.066329